Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.005316 0.005614 0.005922 0.006266 0.006639 0.007032 0.007478
2025-12-21 0.004671 0.005087 0.005537 0.006062 0.006662 0.007328 0.008129
2025-12-28 0.004381 0.004872 0.005420 0.006081 0.006864 0.007768 0.008904
2026-01-04 0.004194 0.004744 0.005373 0.006153 0.007104 0.008242 0.009728
2026-01-11 0.003982 0.004565 0.005245 0.006107 0.007186 0.008513 0.010303
2026-01-18 0.003819 0.004431 0.005157 0.006095 0.007297 0.008814 0.010927
2026-01-25 0.003658 0.004287 0.005045 0.006042 0.007344 0.009029 0.011440
2026-02-01 0.003596 0.004260 0.005072 0.006161 0.007617 0.009547 0.012400
2026-02-08 0.003476 0.004154 0.004993 0.006136 0.007690 0.009797 0.012994
2026-02-15 0.003377 0.004067 0.004934 0.006131 0.007787 0.010079 0.013651
2026-02-22 0.003253 0.003944 0.004821 0.006045 0.007765 0.010187 0.014048
2026-03-01 0.003142 0.003833 0.004718 0.005967 0.007747 0.010297 0.014452
2026-03-08 0.003061 0.003760 0.004664 0.005956 0.007825 0.010555 0.015115
2026-03-15 0.002918 0.003600 0.004487 0.005766 0.007635 0.010398 0.015090
2026-03-22 0.002860 0.003551 0.004459 0.005784 0.007749 0.010709 0.015866
2026-03-29 0.002824 0.003529 0.004466 0.005851 0.007937 0.011146 0.016892
2026-04-05 0.002752 0.003457 0.004400 0.005808 0.007956 0.011311 0.017453
2026-04-12 0.002694 0.003402 0.004358 0.005797 0.008021 0.011554 0.018174
2026-04-19 0.002628 0.003333 0.004291 0.005747 0.008023 0.011690 0.018706
2026-04-26 0.002616 0.003339 0.004331 0.005859 0.008284 0.012279 0.020159
2026-05-03 0.002563 0.003285 0.004284 0.005835 0.008326 0.012491 0.020891
2026-05-10 0.002518 0.003242 0.004251 0.005830 0.008397 0.012758 0.021760
2026-05-17 0.002453 0.003169 0.004171 0.005750 0.008340 0.012790 0.022140